The Aces will look to stay undefeated at home (7-0) this season when they take on the Liberty at 10 p.m. ET at Michelob ULTRA Arena (Amazon Prime). The defending champion Aces and the Liberty were the preseason favorites to win the WNBA Finals this season and have done a good job of living up to those expectations thus far.
Las Vegas has the best record in the WNBA (13-1) after winning their sixth-straight game over the Fever (88-80) on Monday night. The Aces are led by two-time MVP A'ja Wilson, who is averaging 19.6 points and 9.4 rebounds per game and is a contender to win her third MVP. However, Jackie Young has been the standout star for Vegas, leading the team in scoring with a career-high 19.9 ppg. She's also shooting an efficient 57.9 percent from the field and 48.4 percent from three-point range on 4.6 attempts per game. The Liberty will try to limit her open looks from the perimeter and force someone else to beat them.
As for New York, they have the best record in the Eastern Conference (10-3) and are riding a four-game winning streak heading into tonight's marquee matchup. They're led by superstar forward Breanna Stewart, who is averaging 22.6 points,10.3 rebounds, and 4.0 assists per game. However, she doesn't shoulder the entire by herself, as New York has four other players scoring in double figures.
Can the Liberty hand the Aces their first loss at home in a potential WNBA Finals preview, or will Las Vegas continue its dominance over New York? Below, we'll break down this matchup while giving our prediction and best bets for hoops fans looking to win some cash.
Liberty vs. Aces odds, picks, predictions
Odds courtesy of BetMGM, an Authorized Gaming Operator of the NBA. Click HERE to sign up
- Spread: New York +6.5 (-110); Las Vegas -6.5 (-110)
- Over/Under: OVER 174.5 (-110); UNDER 174.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: New York +220; Las Vegas -275
If you haven't watched a WNBA game yet this season, this is the perfect matchup to check out, as you have two teams that can put up points in bunches. The Aces are averaging 92.8 points per game, while the Liberty are posting a solid 88 points per contest. Furthermore, Las Vegas is ranked second in pace at 80.9, and New York is ranked fifth at 79.7.
The Liberty have won five-straight road games, defeating their opponents by 14 points, including two double-digit blowout wins over the Dream. New York is 3-2 against the spread over that span and 3-3 ATS on the road this season. Tonight's game also marks the first time that the Liberty are underdogs.
However, this veteran-led team will not be phased, as they have the shooting and rebounding to keep pace with the Aces. For the Liberty to win tonight, they will need the trio of Betnijah Laney-Courtney Vandersloot-Sabrina Ionescu to keep pace with the Aces' trio of Jackie Young-Kelsey Plum-Chelsea Gray. The Aces are holding teams to 33.8 percent shooting from three-point range this season, which might be bad news for the Liberty, who's shooting a league-high 38 percent from beyond the arc. Las Vegas is ranked second at 37.3 percent from deep.
The Aces won their past six games by 19.6 points while scoring 95 points per game. They've been perfect at home this season but only 4-3 ATS.
The x-factor for Las Vegas is Kelsey Plum, who is coming off a rough shooting performance earlier this week against the Fever -- 17 points (4-16 FG, 2-9 3pt) -- but can drop 20-plus in a blink of an eye. The Aces will also look for Candace Parker to keep Jonquel Jones off the boards in a fun battle. Nevertheless, we like the OVER for tonight's game and think the Liberty covers the spread. However, the Aces walk away with a close win.
Best bets: OVER 174.5; Liberty +6.5
Best SuperDraft prop bet for Liberty vs. Aces: Candace Parker OVER 5.5 rebounds
With it being a lot of attention on Wilson and Stewart, we'll take a chance on Parker's rebound prop, which is set at O/U 5.5 on SuperDraft. The future Hall of Fame forward is producing 8.2 points and 5.6 rebounds per game in her first season with the Aces. Heading into tonight's late-night matchup, the Aces will be looking for Parker to battle on the boards with Jones, who is averaging 9.4 rebounds per game over her past five games.
The Liberty allow the fourth-fewest rebounds per game to opponents (34.4) this season, but it shouldn't stop CP3 from getting her boards. Parker has gone OVER 5.5 rebounds in seven out of her past 14 games this season and is averaging 6.9 rebounds per game at home.
MORE SuperDraft Props to consider: A'ja Wilson OVER 21 points, Jonquel Jones OVER 10.5 points, Courtney Vandersloot UNDER 11.5 points, Breanna Stewart OVER 21.5 points